What Lies Ahead | Issue 66

Path
  • Scottish rental property supply remains low
  • Average new tenancy rents up 11.4% YOY
  • Main cities record 13-18% annual rise
  • New legislation extended

Scottish Monthly Rent Analysis Q2 2022-Q2 2023

Average rents in Scotland for new tenancies have risen by double digits for the third time in a row since the introduction of the Cost of Living (Tenant Protection) (Scotland) Act 2022, underlining what many in the industry feared from the outset that the new legislation would exacerbate the supply demand imbalance. It currently appears to be sustained in vice-like grip sending rents soaring across the country.

The average property to rent in Scotland, having surpassed the £1000 mark for the first time in Q1 2023, continued to rise to average £1081 per month but with the rate of growth easing to 11.4% Year on Year (YOY), down from 12.4% recorded the previous quarter. The average property to rent now takes 19 days within a range of 16-24 days for 1-4 bedroom property types. Annual price appreciation for all major cities was recorded at between 13% and 18%.


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Scotland Average Stock Levels Q3 20 to Q2 23

Scotland

Average Rent (pcm) by Number of Bedrooms

Average Time To Let (TTL) by Number of Bedrooms

Citylets Rental Index - Scotland

YearQ1Q2Q3Q4
2008 100.0 101.6 102.8 100.2
2009 98.8 98.1 99.2 97.7
2010 98.9 101.4 100.6 99.8
2011 100.3 102.8 103.9 101.7
2012 102.9 104.2 105.0 104.0
2013 104.7 107.4 106.5 105.1
2014 108.4 112.1 114.1 113.5
2015 116.4 118.1 117.4 115.7
2016 118.9 120.5 120.2 114.6
2017 119.1 122.3 119.7 113.8
2018 120.9 123.9 122.3 119.5
2019 122.9 129.1 127.3 123.6
2020 125.7 130.9 134.1 128.1
2021 128.1 136.9 140.5 134.7
2022 138.9 150.4 152.1 150.7
2023 156.1 167.6    

Market Composition

Households: Rented

Adrian Sangster

Adrian Sangster - Aberdein Considine

“Demand for good quality accommodation remains at record high levels. This demand is not only restricted to the major cities, we are also witnessing unprecedented enquiries for properties in our towns and rural areas. With the lack of housing availability, people are being forced to widen their parameters, which is fuelling higher rentals in areas traditionally impervious to wider market trends. The media have recently been referring to a ‘ticking timebomb’ in the mortgage market. Scotland’s PRS timebomb started ticking several years ago and despite many warnings, the Scottish Government appear happy to let it explode with those they claim to be protecting, suffering the most.”

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