Freed Market | Issue 73

Bird flying out of a cage
  • Emergency rent controls removed
  • Supply exceeds demand in major cities
  • National rent growth returns towards long term norms
  • TTLs lengthen

Scottish Monthly Rent Analysis Q1 2024-Q1 2025

Scotland’s Private Rented Sector (PRS) received a welcome surprise in first quarter of 2025 with the signalling for the end of rent caps within tenancies to commence on the 1st of April 2025. Whilst the long-term prospect of controls remain, the lettings industry was at least able to enjoy a sigh of relief to operate as a free market once again for the first time in over two years.

Indeed, growth for new lets in the Scottish PRS continued to ease in the first quarter of 2025, moving steadily back towards its pre 2022 long-term average broadly tracking inflation. Current figures for the open market in the sector’s largest geographical areas no longer provide a mandate for controls. Arguably, from the perspective of the industry, it is a slowdown to be welcomed.


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Scotland Average Stock Levels Q2 22 to Q1 25

Scotland

Average Rent (pcm) by Number of Bedrooms

Average Time To Let (TTL) by Number of Bedrooms

Citylets Rental Index - Scotland

YearQ1Q2Q3Q4
2008 100.0 101.6 102.8 100.2
2009 98.8 98.1 99.2 97.7
2010 98.9 101.4 100.6 99.8
2011 100.3 102.8 103.9 101.7
2012 102.9 104.2 105.0 104.0
2013 104.7 107.4 106.5 105.1
2014 108.4 112.1 114.1 113.5
2015 116.4 118.1 117.4 115.7
2016 118.9 120.5 120.2 114.6
2017 119.1 122.3 119.7 113.8
2018 120.9 123.9 122.3 119.5
2019 122.9 129.1 127.3 123.6
2020 125.7 130.9 134.1 128.1
2021 128.1 136.9 140.5 134.7
2022 138.9 150.4 152.1 150.7
2023 156.1 167.6 172.9 170.1
2024 174.1 187.1 185.3 180.6
2025 181.7      

Market Composition

Households: Rented

Karen Turner

Karen Turner - Rettie & Co.

“The first quarter of 2025 began slowly with a large number of properties sitting on the market which was from the rush to list pre-Christmas. Properties are now beginning to let and we are seeing an increase in tenant enquiries which naturally happens come spring. The temporary rent cap expires on 31st March for in-tenancy rent increases and it will be interesting to see how landlords and the market reacts. Interestingly buy-to-let activity is growing, Q3 2024 saw a 6.5% rise in but-to-let lending. Hopefully an encouraging sign for the sector as we move through 2025.”

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