Core Stability In Uncertain Times | Issue 50

  • Scottish PRS posts a record high
  • Edinburgh rents up 4.1% YOY
  • West Lothian TTL materially quickens
  • Glasgow rents up 4.7% YOY
  • Aberdeen market stabilises further at just -0.8%

Scottish Monthly Rent Analysis Q2 2018-Q2 2019

Deal or no deal, delayed or derailed, the prospect of any kind of Brexit eventuality continues to have no significant impact on the core urban markets in the Scottish PRS. A looming global slowdown, however, if materialised may yet soon test that. Meantime, the average property to rent in Scotland stood at a record £833 per month as at Q2 2019, up a significant 4.3% year on year (YOY), driven by strong gains in the central belt. Annual gains ranged from 3.1% for 2 bed properties to 11.3% for 4 bed properties, figures no doubt influenced by seasonal student competition for larger properties.

Scotland

Average Rent (pcm) by Number of Bedrooms

Average Time To Let (TTL) by Number of Bedrooms

Citylets Rental Index - Scotland

YearQ1Q2Q3Q4
2008 100.0 101.6 102.8 100.2
2009 98.8 98.1 99.2 97.7
2010 98.9 101.4 100.6 99.8
2011 100.3 102.8 103.9 101.7
2012 102.9 104.2 105.0 104.0
2013 104.7 107.4 106.5 105.1
2014 108.4 112.1 114.1 113.5
2015 116.4 118.1 117.4 115.7
2016 118.9 120.5 120.2 114.6
2017 119.1 122.3 119.7 113.8
2018 120.9 123.9 122.3 119.5
2019 122.9 129.1    

Market Composition

Households: Rented

David Alexander

David Alexander - DJ Alexander

“The rental market is generally performing well with hotspots remaining in Edinburgh and Glasgow. There is a growing issue with changeovers shifting to the month end due to tenants now being able to select contract termination dates, which has resulted in many agents and landlords experiencing a higher than normal volume of work. However, our recent research into cash buyers found that Scotland has maintained almost the same volume of sales despite a serious falling off from this group of investors in other parts of the UK, indicating confidence in the continuing strength of the Scottish marketplace.”

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